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Discussion in 'HYIP! Dangerous Investments' started by SuperForex, Mar 21, 2017.

  1. SuperForex

    SuperForex Jackobian

    GBP/CAD Technical Outlook after the CPI

    A few minutes ago the CPI figures were released and came out 2.3% higher than expected at 2.1%, as well as higher than the previous data. As a result from the news from the UK the GBP has risen against all currencies. The pair we’ll be talking about today is GBP/CAD which rose by more than 80 pips after the news and is still rising at this moment.

    The Currency pair is trading now around 1.6600 which is a key resistance area for several reasons. It’s a psychological level and is around 61.8% Fibonacci from the down wave from 1.7116 to 1.5735 - it is expected to decline from it and resume the down wave again. We have a supply zone at 1.6619 which is center for the bears and sellers; we can sell from there when the following conditions are completed.

    The Stochastic indicator has reached the distribution area above 80 level and we are waiting for the 2 lines to cross above this level. The RSI is ahead to 90 level to make the distribution from there too.

    The Next Few Days

    Based on the analysis above, the pair is in a key resistance and supply area but we can’t sell the pair here. Instead, we have to wait for a bearish candle like a pin bar candle or an engulfing candle at a lower time frame chart like the H4 chart and sell the pair, keeping our first target at 1.6490 and the second one at 1.6400 at the SMA, which is a support level.

    We have to be careful about upcoming hot news like the core retail sales today and CPI on Friday from Canada, as well as Carney's (BOE Governor) speech today.

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  3. SuperForex

    SuperForex Jackobian

    NZD/JPY: short market review and forecast

    After the brief flat trend, the rates of the NZD/USD has returned to the downward trend. The Japanese yen continues to strengthen, while the New Zealand dollar is losing positions against all currencies.
    In particular, JPY has got support thanks the published data about the increased volume of exports, which in February rose by 11.3%, while the import grew only by 1.2%. Trade balance, adjusted for seasonal fluctuations, was 0,68. These indicators exceeded the forecasts and show good potential for the Japanese economy.
    For the NZD we haven't received any data which could impact the rates and change the situation for NZD. Last week, data about GDP only disappointed investors more because the growth was only 0.4%, against expected growth 0.7%. But today we expect important data from the RNBZ and their decision about the interest rate. It is expected that interest rate won't be changed and left at 1.75%. Also, on Friday will be information about the volume of exports and imports in New Zealand. Investors are positive in these indicators, in particular, expect a positive trade balance for the first time since June 2016.
    Considering the forecasts for the NZD, it is possible to assume that in the evening we expect a price correction as a minimum. The New Zealand dollar will stop falling, and the quotes will go to the resistance line. Oscillators MACD and Stochastics unanimously confirm that now the best moment to open the deals to BUY, upon short-term trading.

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  4. SuperForex

    SuperForex Jackobian

    Technical analysis of the currency pair EUR/USD on 23.03.2017. The daily chart

    General analysis
    At the end of last week currency pair EUR/USD has broken through the resistance level at 1.07800.
    Over the last month, this level was a significant barrier of the price growth. Meanwhile the resistance 1.07800was an upper bound of the price channel 1.07800-1.05500. After breaking through the level the price has fixed above the level and now it shows so called "back testing".
    According to the rules of technical analysis the possible price movement due to the penetration of the resistance line is measured by channel height. So we can see the dollar at 1.08500 in the near future.
    Stochastic indicator shows us a clear Buy but the signal line is already included in the overbought zone.
    Next few days
    We recommend to open long positions on EUR/USD after the start of the upward movement from support at 1.07800. The point of entry must be sought at hour and half hour timeframes. You can open a buy position after formation of "doji" near the support or other reversal figures.
    We recommend to set up S / L order at 1.07500.

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  5. SuperForex

    SuperForex Jackobian

    EURJPY Technical Outlook & no more Bears in the Market

    Our recent report about EURJPY on March 14, we recommend you selling the pair around 122.50 when it was trading nearly to the downside trend line and we saw the pair has declined more than 300 pips and achieved our targets so today we’ll have a look the same pair again because it maybe change the future trend.

    The pair is trading now at 120.10 which is strong support area because it has a trend line which has started on October 21, and it has too a correction percentage 61.8% Fibonacci from the rising wave which started from 118.20 to 122.85 so, we predict to move up a little in this tight area, but the pair is still trading below the SMA50 which is resistance moving level, the MACD is still in sell signal but the Stochastic indicator made accumulation movement and gave us a buy signal which is considered an early signal for us.

    The Next Few Days

    From this analysis, we can close our sell positions with +320 pips and take a buy order after the pair touched the rising trend line and keep our first target at 120.80 and the second one at the downside trend line at 122.15 that in case the pair still trading above 119.30

    This week the market doesn’t have hot news from the EU or Japan so the market will be in poor volatility in the next trading days.

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  6. SuperForex

    SuperForex Jackobian

    EUR/AUD: short review and forecast

    The rates of EUR/AUD are in the frames of new upward trend, which has formed a month ago. The Euro strengthened against the U.S. dollar and many other currencies, including the Australian dollar (AUD). During the last few weeks we have not received any important information that would affect the Australian currency. The data that were on the market, were not enough. The iron ore prices are stable, the price of gold rising, but the price of copper is under the pressure due to increased volume of extraction. Positive statistics from Japan, the statements from China about plans to develop trade and economic relations with Australia, couldn't impact and strengthen the Australian dollar against the Euro. Thus, we can expect that the uptrend will continue in the near future.
    the Euro is on the rise this days. It's strengthened against the USD, as D. Trump's reforms face with huge resistance in the U.S. Congress and successfully block all possible ways. In addition, the Eurozone, last week received a positive statistic that shows stability and growth in economy of the leading EU countries. The Eurozone PMI in March, achieved the record level for 6 years, reaching 56.7 pips. Record PMI also in Germany and France, separately. All this inspired investors, and EUR now seems more stable amid the USD, despite the official start of Brexit.
    Oscillators indicate different signals. but in this situation, it is better to open the deals by the upward trend as Stochastics oscillator also confirmed and indicated good moment to open the deals to BUY.

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  7. SuperForex

    SuperForex Jackobian

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  8. SuperForex

    SuperForex Jackobian

    Technical Outlook for USDJPY & Daily Chart

    Since the Federal Reserve increase the interest rate last month and the US Dollar is in constant decline against the Japanese Yen from the highest level in the last two months at 115.49 to trade now at 110.40 it means more than 500 pips loss.

    The USDJPY currency pair is trading now in series of corrective waves in a price channel which will lead the prices to make a correction movement to 50% and 61.8% Fibonacci, but we have a key support level at last month’s lowest prices that in case the pair broke it down we can take sell positions to make profits.

    The MACD indicator is still giving us a sell signal and the bars are below the 0 value, the RSI didn’t give us the oversold sign yet, it means the pair will lose more pips.

    The Next Few Days

    From this analysis we can sell the pair now at 110.45 with small lot size and increase it once the pair broke the 110.15 level and keep our first target at 50% Fibo at 108.85 and the second one at 106.50 which reflect the 61.8% Fibo that in case the pair still trading below 111.70, if it broke 111.70 up we can buy it till 113.40.

    We have to be careful in the upcoming hot news like the ISM nonmanufacturing PMI and the FOMC Meeting next Wednesday and the Non-Farm and jobs report on Friday

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  9. SuperForex

    SuperForex Jackobian

    Tesla CFDs Review & Forecast
    Most traders prefer to trade with currencies and don't pay attention to the possibility to earn on the shares of leading companies. If you trade with currencies, you need to analyse many factors, which often contradict each other. All this requires much of your attention, knowledge and skills as a trader. Even if you are a trader with years of experience, the risk of losses is high. In contrast, trading with contracts of difference (CFDs) is much simpler.

    We offer you to start trading with CFDs now in order not to lose an opportunity to get profit. We would like to direct your attention to the shares of TESLA. This young company is growing rapidly and has enormous potential. Now everything becomes predictable as never. Volatility becomes high and it is possible to make good money. The company is rapidly increasing its production of electric cars, becoming more and more profitable. In its 14 years of operations, TESLA is near in value to the cost of Ford Motor, which is more than 110 years old.

    We can confidently expect that in the future this company will become the world leader of the automotive industry amid the comprehensive transition to electric cars and the desire to save the environment. Nowadays, even countries like China are beginning to use electric cars. All car manufacturers are increasing the volumes of electric cars production; the demand for electric cars is rapidly growing. Everybody understands that electric cars are the future of the automotive industry. This will certainly increase the value of TESLA's shares - in fact, it is increasing rapidly right now.

    On the chart of the TSLA, you can see an incredibly rapid upward trend. Nowadays you won't see anything like that. We can say for sure that this trend will continue in the future. We are waiting for further rapid growth, giant hikes and price corrections, which you can use to earn a profit with any trading strategy, both long- and short-term.

    Thousands of traders have already noticed the potential of TESLA and trade on it actively. Now you can join them and trade profitably with TSLA today.

    We wish you luck in your trades!

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  10. SuperForex

    SuperForex Jackobian

    USD/SEK – review and short term forecast.

    The rates of the USD/SEK is in the frames of upward trend. Dollar continues also to strengthen against the Krone, this week. It should be noted about unusually high volatility for this currency pair. Positively impacted the dollar a strong statistics from the USA this week. Employment in the agricultural sector increased to 263К against forecasted 187К. The number of applications for unemployment allowance dropped significantly to 234 thousand. It's been predicted reductions the number of applications from 258 to 250 thousands. In addition, received information about the reduction of the trade deficit: from - 44,8 - up-to -43,6. Also, it has been noticed the FED representatives, who said that current situation in the US economy is not only allows to increase the interest rate, but need it in the near future.
    As for the Sweden, the market has not received new information that could affect the value of the Swedish Krona. At the moment there are only data for February. The most significant of them are increased volume of orders in industry by 12% and the growth of industrial production at 4.1% in February, year-on-year. Trade balance has been fixed at almost zero value, and in the period December 2016 - February 2017 amounted -0.6 billion SEK.
    At this moment the most optimal can be the deals on the trend, which in the medium term can generate some profit. We can expect achieving the level 9.05. Oscillator MACD also show potential to growth. Though probability of a price correction remains high, but opening the short deals, seems less promising at the moment.

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  11. SuperForex

    SuperForex Jackobian

    The GBPCAD in Crossroads & H4 Chart

    When you take a look at daily chart for the GBPCAD currency pair, you will see that we have the last 3 candles are bearish candles which led the pair to 1.6513 the lowest level in two weeks after it recorded the highest 1.6798 in this month and for minutes ago the CPI released from the UK and came as the previous one at 2.3% and better than the forecasting figure at 2.2%, after this news the GBPCAD rose more than 55 pips to trade now around 1.6560.

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    The pair is trading inside a wedge since last November and I think it's the time for the breaking, when we look at the pair on smaller time frame like H4 we see the pair touched the lowest level and we can't predict now it will break it or will back to rise again, the Stochastic indicator is in oversold levels it means we can buy the pair from here.

    The Next Few Days

    From this analysis on daily and h4 chart we have to wait for a bullish candle on H4 chart and buy the pair and place our take profit at 1.6650 at the resistance level and around the SMA and the next target at 1.6760, but if the pair didn’t form a bullish candle and broke the wedge down we can sell it and keep our target at 1.6300.
    We have to be careful in the upcoming days regarding hot news like the overnight rate and monetary policy from Canada in addition to BOC press conference.

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  12. SuperForex

    SuperForex Jackobian

    AUD/CAD: review and forecast

    The upward trend of the AUDCAD chart, which steadily continued amid decreasing of oil prices and other factors, is in the risk to be completed. Rising of oil prices and strengthening the USD allowed the canadian currency to strengthened amid disappointing statistics on the economy of Australia. The support line has been broken and greatly displaced down. So, now we can see that the downtrend is formed, though it's early to talk that current upward trend is over. It can be restored next week. Australian currency may take again the initiative, considering that in the near future, the market is not expected any important data on the canadian economy.
    At the same time, next week, we expect important information from China and New Zealand, which may impact the value of the Australian currency, as Australia is a leading trade partner of these two countries. Yesterday, the AUD has increased significantly during 1 day - with 0,997 - up to 1,008 CAD thanks to latest information about economy of China, where in March, exports grew 16.4% year-on-year, and imports by 20%. In particular, imports from Australia grew by 74.8%. Also, positively impacted the strengthening of the Australian dollar, strong statistics on a labour market - recent report of the Australian Bureau of statistics show "the employment change" indicator was 60.9 K, against predicted 3 times less 20.
    Today, we can't expect some volatility on the market because of Easter's holiday in Australia and Canada. So the the rates of the AUD/CAD probably will come to consolidation phase, but in Monday trading will be more active and probability of a price correction will increase. Oscillators give mixed signals, but in the current situation, low volatility in the market, we can pay attention to the entry points 1,0072 and 1,0085. At the moment, upon medium-term trading, we'd recommend to open the deals to SELL, trusting the Stochastics oscillator.

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  13. SuperForex

    SuperForex Jackobian

    The EUR/JPY Review & Forecasting Uptrend

    Since March 13 the EURJPY currency pair has changed the direction and became strongly down and it declined since this day till yesterday around 790 pips, so large number or big loss for the pair, but after yesterday close I think the pair finished the bleeding journey and will start rising now, so if you want to make money read all this report till the end.
    Firstly, we have so strong support area and the prices gave us the buy signal let's take a look at the chart:

    1. The rising wave after the Brexit on June 24 till the top on Dec 15, the pair has reached to 61.8%, and it's the golden correction percentage and expected the pair will rise from there.
    the smaller rising wave from Feb 27 till March 13, the pair has reached to 161.8, the golden extension percentage.

    2. The rising trend line from July 6 which the prices touched it 4 times before and rose, the prices have touched again this week and expected to rise again.

    3. On the daily chart, yesterday candle is bullish engulfing candle which refers to the uptrend.

    The Next Few Days

    From this analysis on daily we can buy the pair now at 115.95 and keep our first target at 118.20 and the second one at 120.10 especially after we saw the RSI indicator give buy signal and rose to 37 level.
    This week we don't have any hot news from the European Union or even from Japan but be careful from any unusual news can change the market direction.

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  14. SuperForex

    SuperForex Jackobian

    EUR/SGD: fundamental review and forecast

    The rates of the EUR/SGD continue to be in the frames of the downward trend. It was expected that this week volatility on the market will decrease until announcement the results of the elections in France, but yesterday the UK's Prime Minister Teresa May announced about holding of early parliamentary elections. The market reacted positively and the Pound strengthened that had an impact on the value of the EUR. The decision about early elections is perceived positively because it can remove uncertainty on the question of the Brexit. Results of the UK's elections, will show surely if they move towards the exit from the EU or, in case of victory the opponents of Brexit, will finally leave this question. Thus, investors expect from new Parliament clear political and economic course. The Singapore dollar was under the significant pressure since yesterday. Stable macroeconomic statistics were unable to change anything amid significant political events, which directly affect the future of the EU.
    At the moment the oscillators Stochastics and MACD unanimous in the decision to open a short deals. After a significant price hike amid the news, the rates may continue in the frames of the downtrend. Now the rates consolidated and can go down. So, upon short term trading, the deals to SELL is the best solution. Upon medium-term trading, it is better to wait few days before the election in France. Based on that results we can obtain absolutely new value of the Euro in case of victory of Marie Le Pen, otherwise it will be strengthened for some time.

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  15. SuperForex

    SuperForex Jackobian

    NZD/JPY: short market review and forecast

    The NZD/JPY rates is in the frames of rapid downward trend. However, the new Zealand dollar had stopped falling and consolidated in the range 76,0 - 76,76 JPY. Yesterday it's been received important statistics related with 2 currencies. Economic statistics from New Zealand, positively impacted the NZD. The consumer price index grew in 2.2% year on year, exceeding forecasts. It is also the highest annual growth rate since 2011. For the 1st quarter of the year the index grew in 1%, slightly exceeding forecasted 0.8% level. At the moment, that was enough to stabilize the exchange rate of the NZD. In a week, the market expects new data about trade balance of New Zealand that may affect the value of the NZD.
    On the other hand, the trade balance of Japan, already known, and taking into account seasonal fluctuations, amounted to only 0.17 T, although it was expected that this indicator will be 3 times more, and will be at 0.61. That's disappointed investors, although overall the economy of Japan is at good level. Volume of exports and imports grew, and exceeded predicted forecasted values. This also becomes the main growth factor of the Japanese economy in the future. Investors expect growth by 1% in 2017.
    At this moment, the oscillators MACD, Stochastics, the RSI are neutral. It should be noted that since April 10, we can see formation of the flat trend, thought at the moment, it is early to say about ending of the downtrend. There're no enough preconditions for that. You should pay attention to the points of entry 76.75 and 76.2 JPY. At the moment, upon medium-term trading, it is recommended to open the short deals on the trend.

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  16. SuperForex

    SuperForex Jackobian

    NZD/USD: Short Review & Analysis
    Today we would look at the development of the exchange rate between the New Zealand and the American dollars. Previously the pair moved within the 0.6860-6990 frame, but we saw the pair take a bullish turn as it broke above 0.7000 and it even reached the important level of 0.7100. The bullish influence continued in full heat and new heights were reached at the levels of 0.7250-0.7350, which serves as the pair’s sell zone.
    The NZD/USD then finally returned to a bearish movement and dropped to 0.6960. This proved to be a weak support, as the pair tends to return to the border of the buy zone 0.6860, where we started. After touching this level the pair began climbing back up from 0.6960.
    As the pair seems to be oscillating between these levels, we have opportunities to both buy and sell it at important intervals. Watch out for the pair dropping and also for it rising to 0.7100. This still provides a lot of resistance and the NZD/USD has struggled to overcome it. If it does success, it will likely go up to 0.7250.
    At the moment of the publication of this article the pair has retreated to 0.6956 and most indicators agree that this is a strong sell.

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    SuperForex Jackobian

    CAD/JPY: fundamental review and forecast

    While the Euro has strengthened sharply against the Japanese yen, showing a giant price hike from 116.8 JPY up to 121 JPY based on results of the 1st round of elections in France, while the yen is losing positions against most currencies because it is under the pressure, mainly due to the tense situation on the Korean Peninsula, the canadian dollar failed to take the initiative and the rates CAD/JPY continues in the frames of downward trend. Though it's strengthened a bit yesterday.
    At the moment, the Canadian dollar is under the pressure of many factors, firstly because of the falling in oil prices. The price for black gold fell again, and fell below the psychological point in $ 50. Forecasts here aren't good for the CAD because the United States continues to increase oil production, and President D. Trump supporting it and trying to make conditions for energy companies easier for developing oil extraction on the continental territory in the U.S. and on the shelf. Also, the canadian dollar decreasing in value because D. Trump continues to demand revision of trade relations with its neighbors and contradictions between Canada and the United States becomes more and more serious.
    This week is full of important events, and the market will get a lot of macroeconomic statistics, which will affect the rates of CAD/JPY. Today, the market awaits important information about the volume of retail sales in Canada, conference of the President of the United States. Also, tomorrow we'll get the Report of the Bank of Japan about perspectives for Japanese economy, and on Friday we expect data about Canada's GDP, consumer price indices and volume of production in Japan. Therefore, this week, volatility may increase. Probably we can expect for further strengthening of JPY in the frames of current downtrend. The oscillators Stochastics and MACD unanimously indicate the good moment to open the deals to SELL, after the price correction, which occurred yesterday.

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  18. SuperForex

    SuperForex Jackobian

    OIL (CL/WTI): middle term review and forecast

    Oil prices continue weakening but the rates are still in the frames of upward trend which began over a year ago. However, the trend is near the completion, and now on the daily chart, you can see signs of the flat trend formation, as the prices from November 2016, keep in the range of 47 - $ 54 per barrel. Support and resistance lines hadn't been broken for all the time. Uncreasing of the drilling rigs in the United States, 15 consecutive week, continue to adversely affect the price of oil. The price of oil reached a minimum level, which for 6 months has been achieved only 2 times.

    On the market we can see uncertain situation: on the one hand, OPEC countries are going to continue the agreement “On the reduction of oil production”, and investors believe that it will be done at the next meeting, may 25. On the other hand, the USA abolishes all these efforts with their growth of oil production. Increasing of oil demand will unlikely resolve the issue with the overabundance of oil on the market. Amid this, long-term forecasts of some analysts, in particular experts from Citigroup (NYCE:C) about further increasing the price of oil to $ 65 in the second half of the year, does not seem probable cause oil prices are constantly under the pressure from a number of factors. This week it was the recovery of oil production in Libya, the recession of business activity in China and mentioned before, constant increasing in drilling rigs in the United States. Factors that could unambiguously support the price of oil are not enough, but the situation may change at the end of the month on the results of the OPEC meeting.

    At this moment, the entry point to the market we can call the levels of 47.4 and 48.2. The most optimal for the moment we can determine the deals to BUY which can be effective to get the profit on the price correction. MACD, RSI, oscillators partially confirm this. It is most likely that after reaching a new minimum level, the price will move up. Soon investors will focus on the next OPEC meeting, and news from countries-participants of the Agreement “On the reduction of oil production”. It can slightly enhance the price of black gold in the short term.

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  19. SuperForex

    SuperForex Jackobian

    USD/SEK – review and short term forecast.

    USD/SEK becomes one of the most underrated currency pairs on the market, considering very high volatility and predictability. It helps to see how the results of the Presidential elections in France affected the rates. Of course, the main reason for the strengthening of the Swedish Krona, which strengthened against the dollar, was the strengthening of the Euro. Question of the victory of E. Makron is a question of the EU future. Sweden is highly depending on the EU. That's why it happened but the giant price hike from 9.02, to 8.7 SEK surpassed all expectations from the predictable outcome of these elections. Traders who are focused on currency pairs related with Euro - EUR/USD, EUR/JPY, EUR/GBP and others, missed a great opportunity to earn on USD/SEK.
    At the moment, the rates consolidated at the level of 8.83 - 8.84 SEK for $ 1. The market is waiting for the unemployment report in the United States. Also, in the evening, we expect the speech of the FED Chairperson Yellen and FOMC members. It can affect the rates and strengthen the dollar. But recently received information about Swedish economy, in particular, increase of the volume of industrial production in 3.8% year on year, the increase in orders for the industry, achieving one of the highest levels over the past 10 years, will not allow the Swedish krona to lose a lot in price. Though the main event is the 2nd round of the French elections, where the victory of E. Makron is obvious for investors. It definitely will lead to further strengthening of the EUR and SEK.
    At the moment the rates of the USD/SEK are in the frames of the flat trend but high volatility, which can be seen on the chart since the beginning of this year, makes this trend special: the rates are in a very wide range from 9.07 - up to 8.76 SEK. The most clear the trend can be seen only on the hourly and daily chart. Points of entry can be considered on the levels 8.817 and 8.855. Oscillator MACD is neutral while the Stochastic is showing a signal to open the short deals, which is absolutely right decision upon medium-term trade, considering possible impact of the upcoming elections in France, on the rates of USD/SEK. Upon short-term trading, you can open the deals to BUY, though volatility won't be high today.

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    SuperForex Jackobian

    NZD/USD: fundamental review and forecast

    Situation for the NZD has not changed yet. the rates continue to be in the frames of the downward trend, though it lost its intensity. The dollar continues to strengthen against the NZD, although we can not say that the New Zealand economy is in a bad state. Despite the rising inflation, the country's economy gradually develops and demonstrates growth. However, it does not allow the New Zealand currency to hold against the strong U.S. dollar.

    Last week, the dollar strengthened amid the positive statistics about unemployment and the results of the FED meeting, which decided to leave interest rate unchanged, but considering sure growth of the US economy, reducing in unemployment, they plan to do it in June if nothing changes. Therefore, the probability of a rate hike is rated as very high.

    At the moment, the rates of the NZD/USD stabilized in the range of 0.688 - 0,694 USD. We can also say that these levels are also good entry points to the market. Until the next day, volatility will be low because investors are waiting for the meeting of the Federal Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) and their decision to change the rate. Now it's 1.75%. Investors don't expect for the rate changes just because the RBNZ in March, said that they don't not plan to change the rate until the 2019. Though continued weakening of the NZD can make them to change their decision because the rate increase would strengthen the NZD.

    Oscillators are neutral for the moment and in this situation, the best solution is to open the deals on the trend. We can say that also, considering that there're no any real reasons for the trend change and strengthening of the NZD in the near future. Therefore, the deals to SELL can be the most effective now, upon the short and medium-term trading.

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    SuperForex Jackobian

    EUR/SGD: review and forecast

    Strengthening of the Euro, which began since the 1st round of elections in France, continues now. Political risks for the EU has been decreased and future of the EU does not cause serious doubts among investors anymore. Good economic indicators in the Eurozone, allow the Euro to grow, against most of currencies including the SGD. So we can see that on the chart of the EUR/SGD was formed by the rapid upward trend which may continue in the future. The value of the Euro reached the price 1.5455 SGD which is the highest level for the last 12 months.This week, the Euro also strengthened significantly against the USD, reaching the highest for the 6 months level.

    Obtained data on GDP matched with expectations of investors, as well as recently received data about the consumer price index, so they continue to invest in Euro. At the same time, the Singapore dollar is losing value and can't find an incentive to strengthen. Received today data about Domestic Exports of Non Oil (NODX) in Singapore decreased to - 0.7 % yoy while investors were expecting for 12.4% growth considering that last month NODX volumes increased up to 16.5% yoy It should be noted that fall of exports, has been fixed for the first time in 6 months, so the market took it negatively.
    New upward trend will probably continue, but in the near future we can expect for price correction. Oscillators MACD, Stochastics, RSI, unanimously indicate a good moment to open the short deals against the trend. Though upon medium-term trading it is better to open the deals on the trend.

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  22. SuperForex

    SuperForex Jackobian

    NZD/JPY: fundamental review and forecast

    Since the beginning of the year, the rates of the NZD/JPY continued in the frames of the rapid downtrend, however, the situation began to change and the current trend is under threat to change. On the chart has traced the new upward trend. It is too early to speak about the final change, but probability remains high. Both support line and resistance line have been removed. Though if the resistance line shifted in the downward direction, the support line has been reversed up.
    So, Why the trend has begun to change its direction? In the beginning of the month, the Japanese yen came under the pressure because of geopolitical tensions on the Korean Peninsula. The conflict at any moment could go to the active zone and Japan could be involved in this conflict. So, the yen has lost positions against most currencies. Amid the geopolitical risks for Japan, the new Zealand dollar has been supported by positive data about retail volume which rose in the 1st quarter of 2017 in 1.5% against the forecast of 0.9%. It was the sharpest increase in retail trade since the second quarter of 2016. In addition, the number of tourists in April, continues to grow, increasing by 20% year on year. Strengthening of the NZD also contributes by the rising commodity prices, including oil.
    Nevertheless, the Japanese yen managed to take the initiative again due to yesterday's data about the Japanese economy. Japan's GDP for the first quarter of 2017 increased by 0.5%, coinciding with the forecasts of investors, and in year on year increasing was 2.2%, against forecasted 1.7%. In addition, second month in a row, orders for machinery have increased, although investors expected more than actual + 1.4% growth.
    At the moment, the value of NZD consolidated in the range of 76.7 - 77.1 JPY. This levels are good entry points to the market. At the moment, the most optimal can be the deals to BUY, considering that today the market is expecting for the data about the milk price index. It will be published today and can support the NZD in the short term perspective. MACD, RSI oscillators confirm this and also signal a good moment for opening the deals to BUY. As for the medium-term trading, next week we'll get the data about the trade balance and export volumes - both from Japan and New Zealand. So, both currencies can get support and go up in price.

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  23. SuperForex

    SuperForex Jackobian

    CAD/JPY: fundamental review and forecast

    The rates of the CAD/JPY for a long time was in the frames of the rapid downward trend, but now the situation can be changed: the trend had lost its intensity and the canadian dollar strengthened against the yen. Perhaps we can see beginning of a new trend. Actually it has been formed and we can see that resistance line has been shifted, and the support line had turned up. However, given that strengthening of the CAD, is mainly based on the increasing of oil prices, which continues to grow amid upcoming summit of OPEC this Friday, crude oil prices may resume a declining for the next few weeks. And this will happen in any case - if OPEC countries extend the agreement On the reduction of oil and in case if not extended. The reason is that extending of the agreement by the OPEC does not solve all questions about the overabundance of oil on the market. The United States and Canada can negate all effect, and higher prices will only motivate for further increasing of oil production. this has been proven in practice.
    The Japanese yen wasn't able to resist successfully the onslaught of the Canadian dollar due to disappointing data from Japan this week: trade balance of Japan was 0.1 T in April, although investors expected level of 0.25 T, the volume of exports grew by only 7.5% against the expected growth of 7.8% and
    the volume of imports increased by 15%, which is more than expected but in the future it is a threat to the trade balance of the country. Next week important data that could support JPY is not expected at all.
    Thus, we can say that in the short term, the CAD will strengthen against many currencies due to the increasing of oil prices. It's happening now - oil prices on Monday achieved a 5 week high and continue to grow, so the deals to Buy will be most effective at this moment upon short term trading.

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    gbolahan GrandMaster Crypto Guardian

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    gbolahan GrandMaster Crypto Guardian

  26. SuperForex

    SuperForex Jackobian

    XAU/USD (GOLD): Short review and forecast

    This week prices for Gold continue to grow. The main factor of growth, of course, was the terrorist attack in Manchester, which forced investors to turn to less risky assets. In addition, the growth of prices continued amid the weak dollar and based on the results of the FOMC Committee meeting, where was designated plans of the US Central Bank to reduce the balance before the end of this year. The FED, which had planned a rate increase this year 2 times, began doubt about necessity for further growth of the rate due to weak economic indicators and slowdown of the economy, although the probability of a rate hike in June remains high. Of course it's also impacted the value of GOLD. Political instability in the United States and possibility of beginning a full and protracted political crisis also, contributes the growth.
    So, there're a lot of factors which say about further increasing of prices. We can say for sure that the upward trend will continue and increase its intensity in the near future. It should be noted that the rates was carried out with high volatility in a wide range, but now the situation changes and the upward trend is more stable, which is clearly seen on the chart.
    Thus, we can say that at the moment, the deals to BUY are more effective. Oscillator MACD confirms this.

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  27. SuperForex

    SuperForex Jackobian

    NZD/USD: fundamental review and forecast

    Starting from May 2017, the downward trend has been changed by rapid upward trend. The New Zealand dollar reached the highest level 0.72 USD over the last 3 months and continues to go up. The main reason for the rapid growth is a weak dollar, which continues to be under the pressure due to investigations about influence of Russia on elections in the United States. In particular, this Thursday, the former head of the FBI, James Comey, will be reporting in Thursday for the Committee of the U.S. Congress. Investors fear it can impact negatively on the administration of D. Trump , as well as D. Trump. This is why the dollar loses in value against all currencies.

    But not only the weakening of the dollar affected the rate of NZD/USD. Also impacted received statistics about economy's most important trading partner of New Zealand - Australia.
    This week, the reserve Bank of Australia left interest rates unchanged and predicts economic growth for the next few years. Meanwhile, GDP data for Australia, has pleased investors: growth amounted to 0.3% in Q1 2017, while the market expected growth to 0.2%. Also, business inventories in Australia increased by 1.2 % in Q1 2017, exceeding market expectations of 0.5% growth. This is the strongest growth since 2012.
    The MACD indicates a good time for short deals. The RSI confirms this, pointing out that the rates are in the overbought zone, and high probability of a price correction. But considering fundamental factors upon medium-term trading, it is better to open the deals on the trend. Peak growth has not been achieved yet, and expected for the next week data about volumes of retail sales and GDP of New Zealand, may support the NZD.

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  28. SuperForex

    SuperForex Jackobian

    AUD/CAD: review and forecast

    Сanadian dollar, is under intense pressure due to falling in oil prices. The rates of CL drops and can not find a base to stabilize. At the moment the price of a barrel of oil CL/WTI costs $ 45.39. Such a low level of prices had been reached only once, this year. After positive GDP data in Canada, at the beginning of the month, there were many factors that had a negative impact on the Canadian dollar. In addition to falling of oil prices, the market also dissapointed with statistics about reduction in the number of building permits by 0.2%, while investors expected in April increasing by 2.4%. Also it has been known about reduction of business activity index in Canada (PMI) to 53.8 against expected 62. A month earlier, the index reached a level of 62.4.
    Given the multiple factors against CAD it is not difficult to assume that the upward trend of AUD/CAD continues. But the Australian dollar deserved to grow even despite the weakening of the Canadian dollar. This week, there were data about GDP for the first quarter of 2017: it has grown to 0.3 percent, slightly exceeding the forecast; yoy GDP growth is more impressive - 1.7% vs. expected growth to 1.5%. The reserve Bank of Australia left interest rates unchanged and indicated further economic growth in the next few years.Situation with trading partners of Australia also in favour of Australia. Recently received statistics about China showed growth in exports and imports by 8.7% and 14.8%, significantly exceeding forecasts. In particular, the volume of iron ore imports in May increased by 11%. Also, increased imports of aluminium and copper.
    Oscillators indicate different signals. Stochastic signalized the beginning of a price correction and a good time for opening the deals against the trend. Upon short-term trading, such deals may be rather effective. Especially given that today we expect data about the change in employment for Canada which can support CAD. But there are no enough preconditions for a trend change. So, upon medium-term trading, it is better to trust the MACD oscillator and open the deals to BUY.

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  29. SuperForex

    SuperForex Jackobian

    GBP/NZD Technical Outlook after the Financial Stability Report

    Minutes ago we listened to BOE governor Mark Carney’s speech about the financial stability in the United Kingdom. He said that the financial stability associated with the outcomes or the results of Brexit and the consumer credit has far outpaced household income over last year, and those comments led the pound currency to decline with 20-30 pips against all major currencies and to rise back again.

    Today we would discuss the GBP/NZD pair which has lost more than 1400 pips since May 22 after breaking the small channel at the top. In our last report we recommended selling the pair at 1.7960 and it achieved our targets at 1.7932 and 1.7465 for more than 490 pips.

    The pair is trading now at 1.7430, close to the uptrend line which has 4 bottoms. We are waiting for another retest to buy the pair. The Stochastic indicator lines are crossed together at the level 35.

    The Next Few Days

    From this analysis of the daily chart we have to wait for a bullish candle at these levels or a little lower on the daily or H4 chart in order to buy the pair. We should keep our first target at 1.7765 and the second one at 1.8150, but if the prices break the trend line and settle down we have to sell the pair to the bottom 1.6830.

    This week is overwhelmed with hot events like Carney’s speech tomorrow and the current account on Friday from the UK.

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  30. SuperForex

    SuperForex Jackobian

    The Euro on the Rise

    The European currency seems to be on the rise, enjoying a positive economic outlook.

    Here is something we didn’t think we’d be saying so soon: the euro is having a good time.

    The currency of the European Union went through some serious hardship over the past decade – it suffered immensely in the global recession of 2008, the debt crisis in some EU countries such as Greece and Portugal, which eventually led to further internal conflicts and more trouble for Europe’s unity as the United Kingdom announced its intention to leave and the fear of losing more members spread as Italy and France held elections recently.

    However, this bleak phase for the euro seems to be approaching an end. Despite small daily fluctuations, which occur naturally when there’s global activity on the financial markets, the euro was able to climb up and is currently in its strongest levels since 2011, according to Reuters.

    Part of the reason why this is a little surprising is the fact that the European Central Bank, the EU’s organ for monetary policy, has been implementing a stimulus program to boost the European economy by encouraging inflation, something that logically decreases the value of the euro versus other major currencies. It has already been two years since the program began and investors as well as the ECB itself initially expected to continue with this approach for a few years. Nevertheless, recent data from the European Union shows the economy is doing quite well, which prompted ECB President Mario Draghi to show willingness to change the course of the current policy as early as September this year.

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  31. SuperForex

    SuperForex Jackobian

    EUR/USD Daily Analysis & Chart

    A surprisingly stable euro is dominating the pair - we expect further bullishness.

    Today we’d look into the EUR/USD trading instrument. The pair has had an interesting few months - 2017 began with widespread speculation that between the weakening euro and the strengthening dollar we’d meet in the middle and see perfect parity before the year’s end. However, this hasn’t been the case and lately we’ve seen the opposite, though in milder terms - a slight strengthening of the euro versus a somewhat weaker dollar.

    Even though the euro lost some of its momentum over the weekend, our outlook for it remains positive. We might see some gains today as the markets in the United States are on a break for the Independence Day celebrations.

    The euro is very close to the psychological level of 1.14. We have been getting data about the European economy that’s been consistently positive, including the most recent PMI report.

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